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O sentido de “likely” no texto da Time (Fuvest 2012)

JUST 10 YEARS INTO A NEW CENTURY, MORE THAN TWO-thirds of the country sees the past decade as a period of decline for the U.S., according to a new TIME/Aspen Ideas Festival poll that probed Americans on the decade since the tragic events of Sept. 11, 2001. Osama bin Laden is dead and al-Qaeda seriously weakened, but the impact of the 9/11 attacks and the decisions that followed have, in the view of most Americans, put the U.S. in a tailspin that the country has been unable to shake during two administrations and almost 10 years of trying.

ACCORDING TO THE POLL, ONLY 6% OF MORE THAN 2,000 Americans believe the country has completely recovered from the events of 9/11. Some of this pessimism can be tied to fears of more terrorist attacks. Despite the death of bin Laden, most Americans think another terrorist attack in the U.S. is likely.

[O texto e acompanhado de tres graficos de pizza (setores) em preto e branco: 1) "What was the most important event in the past decade?" - 41% 9/11; 30% OTHER; 9% OBAMA'S ELECTION; 7% ECONOMIC RECESSION. 2) "Did the killing of Osama bin Laden increase, decrease or have no impact on the threat of terrorism against the U.S.?" - 41% INCREASE; 31% NO IMPACT; 19% DECREASE. 3) "If a major terrorist attack were to take place in the U.S., is it more likely to be the work of foreign terrorists or homegrown terrorists?" - 47% FOREIGN; 41% HOME-GROWN.]

Time, July 11, 2011. Adaptado.

Fonte: Time, July 11, 2011.

A sequência “most Americans think another terrorist attack in the U.S. is likely” significa que, para a maioria dos norte-americanos, outro ataque terrorista nos EUA é

  1. A) iminente.
  2. B) muito temido.
  3. C) impensável.
  4. D) provável.
  5. E) uma incógnita.
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Resposta correta: D

Em “most Americans think another terrorist attack in the U.S. is likely”, “likely” é “provável”, o que dá a alternativa D. A é o distrator mais forte, mas “iminente” corresponderia a “imminent”, prestes a acontecer, um grau de urgência que “likely” não expressa: aqui se avalia chance, não proximidade no tempo. B troca essa avaliação de probabilidade por sentimento; o medo aparece antes, em “fears of more terrorist attacks”, mas o verbo da frase é “think”, um juízo. C é o oposto de “likely” e E diria que não se sabe, quando o texto afirma justamente o que a maioria pensa.

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